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Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Let's talk probability.

       The probability of drawing a Royal Flush in five-card draw is 1 in 1.54 times 10^4.
Functional proteins are essential building blocks of life and the positioning of amino acids requires extreme precision for it to be functional.
      According the scientific model used by Stephen Meyer (prominent advocate of intelligent design), the probability of a functional protein of 150 amino acids forming by natural processes is 1 in 10^164.
I did my own research and found that simple yeasts boast functional proteins that are 466 amino acids long.
      Now, imagine the mind-blowing complexity of the cells within a human being and contemplate the precision that would be required for it to be a result of naturalistic evolution. The odds are infinitesimally small. Conceiving this as possible would be akin to saying that one could believe that a person can be dealt a royal flush five times in a row and not suspect them of cheating and this is being quite generous for even those odds are many times greater than the possibility that intelligent life emerged from utilitarian causes alone through the mechanisms thus mentioned. It would be reasonable to assert that the consecutive royal flush odds are astronomical in comparison.
     What are the alternatives? Biological predestination has been discredited. How about a transcendent super-intelligent being? That sounds more like it. Remember what they say. If the shoe fits, wear it.

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